Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2950.803264 3190.215595 3432.914575 3697.041325 3976.057060 4261.710651 4575.935258
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2547.236850 2901.577429 3274.396235 3694.652447 4153.939064 4639.398150 5190.053743
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2330.814967 2759.254678 3222.420488 3757.784863 4356.936084 5004.248970 5753.844010
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2113.113857 2587.550576 3112.679042 3732.842790 4440.936175 5219.995642 6137.595647
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1996.778344 2516.434755 3103.174288 3808.597265 4627.400489 5541.673963 6633.315889
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1868.851747 2420.259427 3054.609675 3830.045727 4743.823505 5777.946808 7027.954560
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1748.140212 2323.376707 2996.945720 3833.196755 4832.506714 5977.430311 7376.903265
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1583.083364 2162.471373 2853.617669 3725.626380 4782.741720 6009.171762 7525.278754
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1547.475259 2158.410117 2897.501167 3841.321745 4997.757881 6351.860133 8039.663022
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1496.008012 2130.600730 2909.109970 3915.159516 5160.763111 6632.412632 8481.406353
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1414.537875 2059.725022 2863.000973 3914.066971 5229.587072 6798.300144 8785.435839
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1327.947444 1977.609134 2798.586208 3886.269627 5262.329008 6918.265821 9032.761422
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1272.755399 1935.624763 2784.948020 3923.150595 5377.326450 7141.810295 9411.261004
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1204.462189 1872.797484 2741.632495 3919.944200 5440.702811 7301.719648 9713.066431
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1168.946981 1852.723382 2752.785137 3985.918588 5591.156533 7569.657437 10149.140114
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1100.571711 1783.567282 2695.636534 3959.853142 5621.706235 7686.626533 10397.594090
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1076.138970 1774.955007 2718.795741 4039.013526 5787.700480 7974.142533 10860.073200
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1032.873580 1737.209310 2700.493875 4061.423136 5879.003627 8167.048330 11204.616574
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 985.679065 1691.495731 2669.257850 4064.715252 5944.033667 8325.963724 11506.530834
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 902.781163 1589.198770 2555.559444 3952.311362 5852.944662 8282.200473 11549.083482
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 900.319088 1607.348640 2611.606714 4073.203900 6073.284319 8641.269421 12107.943168
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 884.220288 1603.838229 2636.204872 4150.337517 6235.274522 8925.675484 12572.948675
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 845.014500 1562.963491 2605.588810 4149.196322 6290.852144 9071.230070 12859.644131